Donn’s Bets

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Donn’s betting strategy is simple – he bets when he thinks that a horse is a bigger price than it should be. Most punters make the mistake of trying to back winners without considering the odds. They try to back the most likely winner of a race rather than the horse who is most over-priced. Just because Tails has come up in the toss of a fair coin, it doesn’t mean that it was a value bet at 4/6. If you back Tails at 4/6 every time a coin is tossed, in the long run you will lose. By contrast, if you can back Tails at 6/4 every time a coin is tossed then, in the long run, you will make a profit. That’s the key. It’s all about the odds.

Deck of cards

Take a fair deck of 52 cards. If you draw a card from that deck, there is one chance in two that it will be a red card (true odds of evens or 1/1), and one chance in four that it will be a club (odds of 3/1). Of the two possible outcomes, of course the more likely outcome is that a red card will be drawn. However, if you are offered odds of 4/5 about that outcome occurring, about a red card being drawn, that is not a bet that you should have. The odds offered are lower than the true odds for the event occurring, and the bet consequently offers poor value. Conversely, if you are offered 7/2 about drawing a club, that is a bet that you should have, as the offered odds are greater than the true odds. While on average you will only win once out of every four draws, in the long run, because you are betting at 7/2, you will make a profit. It is on this simple principle that Donn’s entire betting strategy is predicated.

So where’s the edge?

Unlike the draw of a card, the true probability of any horse winning any race is neither known nor measurable. Consequently, nobody knows what the true odds are. The odds on offer are governed by the laws of supply and demand, a function of bookmaker and bettor opinion. Therefore, the edge in betting usually lies in going against the crowd, an idea that Alan Potts encapsulated in his 1995 book of that title. If you can take a view that is contrary to that of the majority, and if your opinion is well informed and accurate then, in the long run, you should make a profit.


Crucial to this strategy is the accuracy of the assessment of a horse’s chance of winning a race. Donn bets on form, not on information. Almost all of his bets are on mature morning prices or ante post markets on the higher class races, in which form and potential can be assessed and evaluated. This strategy has been refined over the course of the last 30 years, and it has proved to be a hugely profitable strategy since Donn’s recommended bets were first published.


When you sign up to receive Donn’s Bets, you will be one of a select group of clients who will be given access via the password protected Private Clients page on this site to Donn’s race analyses, the horses that he thinks are over-priced and the rationale behind his opinions, as follows:

  1. After 10.30am every Saturday detailing all of his thoughts on the day’s racing, together with recommended bets and stakes
  2. After 10.30am on every other day that there is racing on terrestrial television, together with recommended bets and stakes
  3. After 3.00pm on Fridays for the big weekend race(s), together with recommended bets and stakes
  4. Sporadically when Donn thinks that there is an ante post bet worth having


Net profit/loss from Donn’s recommended bets (at €100 per point):

2023 to date Net profit of €15,300
Total 2009 to 2022 Net profit of €94,202
2022 Net profit of €1,505
2021 Net loss of €5,404
2020 Net loss of €8,931
2019 Net profit of €9,887
2018 Net profit of €1,902
2017 Net profit of €8,626
2016 Net profit of €33,078
2015 Net profit of €12,620
2014 Net profit of €630
2013 Net profit of €15,493
2012 Net profit of €1,365
2011 Net profit of €6,270
2010 Net profit of €16,732
2009 Net profit of €429


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If you wish to sign up, as long as there is a place available, you can just click one of the Buy Now buttons above and you will be taken to a secure PayPal page where you can pay by credit card or by your preferred method. You will then receive an introductory email which will go through the finer details of the service, and which will inform you of any ante post bets that are currently live. You will receive your first password as soon as your first recommended bet has been posted on the web site. All passwords are sent out by text message, so be sure to include your mobile number with your payment details.

Betting on horses, by its nature, is a risky business. This is not a sure-fire route to untold riches, but by signing up to receive Donn’s Bets, you will benefit from the knowledge that Donn has gained in over 30 years of betting on horses.

Please remember:

  • Betting should always be fun
  • Bet responsibly and within your means
  • Stay in control

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Our winners:

Rosallion (Adv 4/1, SP 9/2), Carla’s Way (Adv 9/2 [R4], SP 7/2), Matilda Picotte (Adv 15/2, SP 6/1), Legendary Day (Adv 20/1, SP 12/1), Regional (Adv 14/1, SP 10/1), Heredia (Adv 4/1, SP 5/2), Spirit Dancer (17/2), Astro King (4/1), Witch Hunter (Adv 10/1, SP 12/1), Heredia (Adv 7/1, SP 11/2), Dunum (Adv 4/1, SP 100/30), Epictetus (Adv 8/1, SP 6/1), Al Husn (Adv 11/1, SP 9/1), Granville Street (Adv 14/1, SP 11/1), Coeur D’Or (Adv 14/1, SP 14/1), Hukum (Adv 9/2, SP 13/2), Baradar (Adv 15/2, SP 16/1), Alflaila (Adv 4/1, SP 5/1), Strike Red (Adv 8/1, SP 7/1), Blue For You (Adv 13/2, SP 7/2), Castle Way (Adv 13/2, SP 9/2), Triple Time (Adv 33/1, SP 33/1), Kihavah (Adv 7/2, SP 11/4), Tatterstall (Adv 8/1, SP 8/1), Bobsleigh (Adv 5/1, SP 5/1), Mustazeed (Adv 9/2, SP 11/4), Metier (Adv 13/2, SP 5/1), Pride Of America Adv 4/1, SP 4/1), Surely Not (Adv 5/1, SP 7/2), Azure Blue (Adv 9/2, SP 7/2), Probe (Adv 17/2, SP 15/2), Outbreak (Adv 7/1, SP 9/2), Gloire D’Athon (Adv 14/1, SP 11/2), Echoes In Rain (Adv 9/4, SP 13/8), Monbeg Park (Adv 5/4, SP 15/8), Broomfield Bijou (Adv 10/1, SP 6/1), Ottoman Fleet (Adv 7/4, SP 6/4), Sire Du Berlais (Adv 11/2, SP 8/1), Inthepocket (Adv 9/2, SP 3/1), I Am Maximus (Adv 12/1, SP 8/1), Bandinelli (Adv 11/2, SP 11/2), A Dream To Share (Adv 6/1, SP 7/2). Maskada (Adv 25/1, SP 22/1), Corach Rambler (Adv 10/1, SP 6/1), Marine Nationale (Adv 16/1, SP 9/2), The Big Bite (Adv 14/1, SP 12/1), Indiana Jones (Adv 13/2, SP 15/2), Our Power (Adv 13/2, SP 11/2), Quick Wave (Adv 20/1, SP 18/1), Aucunrisque (Adv 11/1, SP 9/1), Magic Daze (Adv 5/2, SP 9/4), Gentleman De Mee (Adv 15/2, SP 15/2), Final Orders (Adv 7/1, SP 9/2), Green Book (Adv 8/1, SP 6/1), Hacker Des Places (Adv 4/1, SP 4/1), Shakeytry (Adv 13/2, SP 8/1), Mahler Mission (Adv 9/2, SP 100/30), Annsam (Adv 9/2, SP 7/2), Grumpy Charley (Adv 6/1, SP 15/2), Gaillard Du Mesnil (Adv 13/8, SP 5/6), Maskada (Adv 5/1, SP 5/1), Home By The Lee (Adv 6/1, SP 7/1), Glimpse Of Gala (Adv 11/2, SP 4/1), Saylavee (Adv 7/2, SP 5/2), First Street (Adv 7/2, SP 3/1), Fontaine Collonges (Adv 9/2, SP 7/2), I Like To Move It (Adv 15/2, SP 17/2), Does He Know (SP 6/1), Ga Law (Adv 6/1, SP 5/1), Envoi Allen (Adv 9/2, SP 7/2), Fast Response (Adv 7/1, SP SP 9/2), Bayside Boy (Adv 16/1, SP 33/1), Mitbaahy (Adv 13/2, SP 9/2), Royal Champion (Adv 7/2, SP 9/4), Inverness (Adv 17/2, SP 6/1), Highfield Princess (Adv 8/1, SP 5/1), Quickthorn (Adv 7/1 [R4], SP 9/4), Haskoy (SP 13/2), Alfred Boucher (Adv 11/2, SP 5/1), Surrounding (SP 10/1), Gale Force Maya (Adv 7/1, SP 9/2), Jimi Hendrix (ADv 11/4, SP 5/2), La Petite Coco (SP 9/1), Magical Lagoon (Adv 3/1, SP 11/4), Dark Shift (Adv 10/1, SP 13/2), Hukum (Adv 5/1, SP 11/4), Al Qareem (Adv 6/1, SP 9/2), Lilac Road (Adv 10/1, SP 15/2), Tranquil Lady (Adv 7/2, SP 3/1), Cleveland (Adv 7/1, SP 6/1), Outgate (Adv 11/4, SP 9/4), Dreamloper (Adv 11/2, SP 4/1), Scarlet And Dove (Adv 7/2, SP 3/1), Magic Daze (Adv 11/2, SP 3/1), Royal Rendezvous (Adv 8/1, SP 12/1), Westover (Adv 9/1, SP 5/1), Digby (Adv 10/1, SP 7/1), Modern News (Adv 6/1, SP 5/1), Echoes Of Family (Adv 5/1, SP 7/1), Anna Bunina (Adv 11/2, SP 6/1), Raadobarg (Adv 5/1, SP 9/2), Flooring Porter (Adv 7/2, SP 4/1), Eldorado Allen (Adv 10/1, SP 6/1), Torn And Frayed (Adv 15/2, SP 5/1), Zhiguli (Adv 4/1, SP 16/5), Caribean Boy (Adv 6/1, SP 9/2), Stormy Ireland (Adv 11/2, SP 4/1), Royal Kahala (Adv 7/2, SP 11/4), Iwilldoit (Adv 12/1, SP 13/2), Mighty Potter (Adv 9/4, SP 5/2), School Boy Hours (Adv 14/1, SP 12/1), Good Boy Bobby (Adv 13/2, SP 4/1), Edwardstone (Adv 7/2, SP 3/1), Pileon (Adv 100/30, SP 5/2), Run Wild Fred (Adv 11/2, SP 4/1), Dans Le Vent (Adv 14/1, SP 16/1), Midnight Shadow (Adv 9/1, SP 9/1), Art Approval (Adv 9/2, SP 100/30)…

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